|
Arizona Likely Voters |
Which one of the following candidates do you think has the best chance to beat President Obama: |
Newt Gingrich |
Mitt Romney |
Rick Santorum |
Ron Paul |
None |
Undecided |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Arizona Likely Voters |
11% |
57% |
17% |
4% |
3% |
7% |
Tea Party Supporters |
14% |
52% |
24% |
3% |
1% |
6% |
Intensity of Tea Party Support |
Strongly support Tea Party |
17% |
42% |
30% |
3% |
0% |
8% |
Support Tea Party |
12% |
58% |
20% |
3% |
2% |
5% |
Does not support Tea Party |
8% |
63% |
11% |
5% |
6% |
7% |
Political Ideology |
Liberal-Moderate |
7% |
64% |
11% |
5% |
6% |
7% |
Conservative |
12% |
56% |
18% |
3% |
3% |
9% |
Very conservative |
13% |
51% |
25% |
4% |
1% |
6% |
Political Ideology |
Liberal-Moderate |
7% |
64% |
11% |
5% |
6% |
7% |
Conservative-Very conservative |
12% |
54% |
20% |
3% |
2% |
8% |
Past Participation** |
Yes |
11% |
56% |
19% |
3% |
4% |
8% |
No |
9% |
61% |
9% |
14% |
2% |
4% |
Republican Candidates |
Mitt Romney |
2% |
88% |
5% |
1% |
1% |
3% |
Rick Santorum |
6% |
32% |
51% |
1% |
3% |
7% |
Newt Gingrich |
47% |
37% |
6% |
0% |
5% |
5% |
Ron Paul |
5% |
45% |
7% |
35% |
2% |
6% |
Candidate Support |
Strongly support |
10% |
57% |
19% |
4% |
3% |
6% |
Somewhat support |
12% |
65% |
14% |
3% |
1% |
5% |
Might vote differently |
17% |
59% |
13% |
5% |
5% |
1% |
Most Important Quality |
Shares your values |
11% |
47% |
23% |
7% |
3% |
9% |
Is closest to you on the issues |
7% |
56% |
21% |
7% |
4% |
5% |
Can beat President Obama in 2012 |
13% |
62% |
14% |
1% |
2% |
8% |
Has the experience to govern |
13% |
63% |
11% |
3% |
4% |
6% |
Gender |
Men |
10% |
56% |
20% |
5% |
3% |
7% |
Women |
12% |
57% |
15% |
3% |
4% |
8% |
Age |
Under 45 |
8% |
68% |
13% |
8% |
1% |
2% |
45 or older |
12% |
53% |
19% |
2% |
4% |
9% |
Region |
Maricopa County (Phoenix) |
10% |
61% |
14% |
4% |
3% |
8% |
Pima County (Tucson) |
14% |
45% |
24% |
4% |
6% |
7% |
Rest of State |
11% |
52% |
22% |
5% |
4% |
7% |
Household Income |
Less than $75,000 |
10% |
54% |
20% |
5% |
3% |
7% |
$75,000 or more |
11% |
63% |
15% |
4% |
3% |
5% |
Evangelical Christians |
16% |
48% |
22% |
2% |
3% |
8% |
Tea Party-Conservative-Evangelical |
19% |
45% |
27% |
2% |
1% |
7% |
Mormons are Christians |
Yes |
8% |
65% |
13% |
4% |
3% |
7% |
No-Unsure |
15% |
43% |
25% |
5% |
4% |
7% |
Education |
Not college graduate |
12% |
54% |
18% |
6% |
3% |
7% |
College graduate |
10% |
60% |
17% |
2% |
4% |
7% |
Interview Type |
Landline |
11% |
57% |
17% |
3% |
4% |
8% |
Cell Phone |
11% |
55% |
18% |
10% |
2% |
5% |
NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Likely Republican Primary Voters. Interviews conducted February 19th and 20th, 2012, N=767 MOE +/- 3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. **Past participation refers to previous participation in an Arizona Republican Presidential Primary. |